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Free, publicly-accessible full text available November 1, 2026
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Trip generation, a critical first step in travel demand forecasting, requires not only estimating trips from the observed sample data, but also calculating the total number of trips in the population, including both the observed trips and the trips missed from the sample (we call them missing trips in this paper). The latter, how to recover missing trips, is scarcely studied in the academic literature, and the state-of-the-art practice is through the application of sample weights to extrapolate from observed trips to the population total. In recent years, big location-based service (LBS) has become a promising alternative data source (in addition to household travel survey data) in trip generation. Because users self-select into using different mobile services that result in LBS data, selection bias exists in the LBS data, and the kinds of trips excluded or included differ systematically among data sources. This study addresses this issue and develops a behaviorally informed approach to quantify the selection biases and recover missing trips. The key idea is that because biases reflected in different data sources are likely different, the integration of multiple biased data sources will mitigate biases. This is achieved by formulating a capture probability that specifies the probability of capturing a trip in a data set as a function of various behavioral factors (e.g., socio-demographics and area-related factors) and estimating the associated parameters through maximum likelihood or Bayesian methods. This approach is evaluated through experimental studies that test the effects of data and model uncertainty on its ability of recovering missing trips. The model is also applied to two real-world case studies: one using the 2017 National Household Travel Survey data and the other using two LBS data sets. Our results demonstrate the robustness of the model in recovering missing trips, even when the analyst completely mis-specifies the underlying trip generation process and the capture probability functions (for quantifying selection biases). The developed methodology can be scalable to any number of data sets and is applicable to both big and small data sets. History: This paper has been accepted for the Transportation Science Special Issue on Machine Learning Methods for Urban Mobility. Funding: This work was supported by the Division of Civil, Mechanical and Manufacturing Innovation [Grant 2114260], the National Institute of General Medical Sciences [Grant 1R01GM108731-01A1], and the U.S. Department of Transportation [Grant 69A3551747116]. Supplemental Material: The online appendix is available at https://doi.org/10.1287/trsc.2024.0550 .more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available May 16, 2026
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Free, publicly-accessible full text available November 1, 2025
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Big data products offer a new paradigm to understand and analyze human mobility patterns, a primary interest of long-range transportation planners. However, it remains unclear how widely these datasets are utilized by planners and to what extent they influence decision-making. We present the perspectives of more than 50 planners from MPOs across the United States. While we found a range of use cases, there was also a tendency to focus on a narrow set of applications.Transparency,regulation, andlegitimacyemerged as the primary factors influencing adoption decisions.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available December 12, 2025
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Free, publicly-accessible full text available January 1, 2026
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Free, publicly-accessible full text available November 1, 2025
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Existing methodology on food accessibility predominately focuses on on-premise services, that is, dine-in and shopping at stores, which assumes a linear distance decay property (the closer, the higher accessibility). Access to delivery services is fundamentally different from that to on-premise stores. Stores with close proximity (within an inner boundary) are less desirable for delivery due to delivery fees, and there is an outer boundary beyond which deliveries are unavailable, both challenging the assumption of increasing impediment with distance. These two boundaries form a donut shape for delivery services. We propose a modified 2-step floating catchment area method that incorporates the donut shape, accounts for both demand and supply, and examines the diversity of food options. Using Seattle as a case study, our results show that delivery services increase restaurant and fast-food accessibility in areas where there is already good accessibility (e.g., downtown Seattle for restaurants and South Seattle for fast-food). Given South Seattle is where low-income and low-access households concentrate, the increase in accessibility to fast-food may not be desired. Interestingly, with delivery services, more low-income or low-access households (those who live far from grocery stores) have better accessibility to fresh produce from grocery stores compared to the rest of the population. And the newly created Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) online program appears to miss low-access households. These findings have important implications for policymakers and stakeholders seeking to improve food accessibility in urban areas through delivery services.more » « less
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